Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Clark vs Mike Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Clark
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Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach82,5"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

Devin Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mike Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Devin ClarkNow 1609
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
Mike RodriguezNow 1590
If they win+17→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.35
54%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
44%
Strike defense
41%
2.17
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
59%
Takedown defense
38%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Devin ClarkMike Rodriguez
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
10 (83%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (17%)
9 (64%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Clark56%
Mike Rodriguez 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Clark a 56% favorite over Mike Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Devin Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1590, a 19-point edge.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devin Clark finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rodriguez 100%.

Devin Clark and Mike Rodriguez share 2 common opponents: Marcin Prachnio and Da Woon Jung.

Mike Rodriguez carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Marcin Prachnio
WinKO · 2020
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Da Woon Jung
LossRight Cross to Ground & Pound · 2019