Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Cole vs Mukhamad Vakhaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record13-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
249 lbsWeight266 lbs
New World FightersTeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devin ColeNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Mukhamad VakhaevNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Devin ColeMukhamad Vakhaev
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
3 (15%)
Submission
5 (38%)
7 (35%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Devin Cole and Mukhamad Vakhaev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1609), separated by just 3 points.

Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Devin Cole finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamad Vakhaev 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.