Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Powell vs Erick Maia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'6"
41,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nostos MMATeamLabareda Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devin PowellNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Erick MaiaNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.64
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Devin PowellErick Maia
150015501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (67%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Maia62%
Devin Powell 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 62% favorite over Devin Powell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devin Powell finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Erick Maia 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.