Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Smyth vs Kendly St. Louis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Smyth
us

Devin Smyth

“The Prodigy”

10-4-0WelterweightLFA

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach77”
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamAmerican Top Team Sunrise

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devin SmythNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Kendly St. LouisNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
68%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
25%
Strike defense
TBD
4
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Devin SmythKendly St. Louis
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
5 (50%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Smyth52%
Kendly St. Louis 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 52% favorite over Kendly St. Louis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1604), separated by just 5 points.

Kendly St. Louis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devin Smyth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Kendly St. Louis 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.