Devin Smyth vs Rayan Atmani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamCage Winner DZ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Devin SmythRayan Atmani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rayan Atmani60%
Devin Smyth 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 60% favorite over Devin Smyth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Devin Smyth's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1600), separated by just 9 points.
Rayan Atmani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Devin Smyth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.