Combat Edge Intelligence

Devonte Smith vs Dong Hyun Ma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record16-11-3
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
76"Reach70.50
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamBusan Team MAD

What's at stake

Devonte Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Devonte SmithNow 1672
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-19→ 1653
Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
50%
Strike defense
59%
0.35
Takedown avg.
2.93
25%
Takedown accuracy
44%
86%
Takedown defense
72%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Devonte SmithDong Hyun Ma
160016501700201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (91%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
1 (9%)
Submission
6 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Devonte Smith75%
Dong Hyun Ma 25%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Devonte Smith a 75% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Devonte Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1615, a 57-point edge.

Devonte Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Devonte Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Dong Hyun Ma 75%.

Devonte Smith carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.