Combat Edge Intelligence

Devonte Smith vs Umakhan Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
76"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devonte SmithNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Umakhan IbragimovNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.35
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.35
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Devonte SmithUmakhan Ibragimov
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (91%)
KO/TKO
11 (100%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Umakhan Ibragimov60%
Devonte Smith 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Umakhan Ibragimov a 60% favorite over Devonte Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Devonte Smith's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.

Devonte Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devonte Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Umakhan Ibragimov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.