Dhiego Lima vs Jesse Taylor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record33-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach42,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Jesse Taylor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dhiego Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1572
If they lose-13→ 1540
If they win+10→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dhiego LimaJesse Taylor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dhiego Lima60%
Jesse Taylor 40%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Dhiego Lima a 60% favorite over Jesse Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Taylor's way (41%).
Jesse Taylor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1553, a 63-point edge.
Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dhiego Lima finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Taylor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.