Combat Edge Intelligence

Dhiego Lima vs Jingliang Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

Jingliang Li is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Dhiego Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dhiego LimaNow 1553
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-9→ 1544
Jingliang LiNow 1704
If they win+7→ 1711
If they lose-17→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
39%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
58%
Strike defense
57%
1.26
Takedown avg.
1.19
35%
Takedown accuracy
42%
74%
Takedown defense
60%
0.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dhiego LimaJingliang Li
15501600165017001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (53%)
4 (27%)
Submission
4 (21%)
7 (47%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jingliang Li75%
Dhiego Lima 25%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Jingliang Li a 75% favorite over Dhiego Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Jingliang Li holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1553, a 151-point edge.

Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dhiego Lima finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.