Combat Edge Intelligence

Dhiego Lima vs Jorge de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamPredador Team

What's at stake

Dhiego Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jorge de Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dhiego LimaNow 1553
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-17→ 1536
Jorge de OliveiraNow 1537
If they win+17→ 1554
If they lose-15→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.26
39%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
58%
Strike defense
49%
1.26
Takedown avg.
0
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
22%
0.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dhiego LimaJorge de Oliveira
155020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Submission
1 (100%)
7 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dhiego Lima61%
Jorge de Oliveira 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dhiego Lima a 61% favorite over Jorge de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Dhiego Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1553 to 1537, a 16-point edge.

Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jorge de Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dhiego Lima finishes 53% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.