Dhiego Lima vs Luke Jumeau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach40.50
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamPhuket Top Team
What's at stake
Dhiego Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Luke Jumeau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-17→ 1536
If they win+25→ 1562
If they lose-23→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dhiego LimaLuke Jumeau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dhiego Lima53%
Luke Jumeau 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Dhiego Lima a 53% favorite over Luke Jumeau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Dhiego Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1553 to 1537, a 16-point edge.
Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dhiego Lima finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Luke Jumeau 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.