Diana Avsaragova vs Julianna Peña
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach69"
150 lbsWeight135 lbs
TBDTeamSikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Julianna Peña is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Diana Avsaragova carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1594
If they lose-19→ 1546
If they win+13→ 1646
If they lose-19→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diana AvsaragovaJulianna Peña
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julianna Peña67%
Diana Avsaragova 33%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Julianna Peña a 67% favorite over Diana Avsaragova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Julianna Peña holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1565, a 68-point edge.
Diana Avsaragova enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julianna Peña 67%.
Julianna Peña carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.