Combat Edge Intelligence

Diana Belbiţă vs Gloria de Paula

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
House of Champions MMATeamFabiana Belai Academia

What's at stake

Diana Belbiţă is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gloria de Paula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diana BelbiţăNow 1539
If they win+14→ 1553
If they lose-18→ 1521
Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+18→ 1512
If they lose-14→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
43%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
52%
Strike defense
66%
0.91
Takedown avg.
0.74
63%
Takedown accuracy
38%
66%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Diana BelbiţăGloria de Paula
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Diana Belbiţă56%
Gloria de Paula 44%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Diana Belbiţă a 56% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Diana Belbiţă holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1539 to 1494, a 45-point edge.

Diana Belbiţă enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diana Belbiţă finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Gloria de Paula 50%.

Diana Belbiţă and Gloria de Paula share 1 common opponent: Maria Oliveira.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Maria Oliveira
LossDecision (split) · 2022