Diana Belbiţă vs Maria Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record13-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach69"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
House of Champions MMATeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Maria Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Diana Belbiţă carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1557
If they lose-14→ 1525
If they win+14→ 1602
If they lose-18→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diana BelbiţăMaria Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maria Oliveira64%
Diana Belbiţă 36%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Maria Oliveira a 64% favorite over Diana Belbiţă in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Maria Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1539, a 49-point edge.
Diana Belbiţă enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diana Belbiţă finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Maria Oliveira 62%.
Diana Belbiţă and Maria Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Gloria de Paula.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.