Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Felipe Colares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
38,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Felipe ColaresNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.65
62%
Strike defense
37%
3.21
Takedown avg.
1.88
68%
Takedown accuracy
24%
81%
Takedown defense
43%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoFelipe Colares
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
6 (21%)
Submission
6 (55%)
7 (24%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Colares63%
Diego Brandao 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Colares a 63% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Colares 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.