Diego Brandao vs Hiroyuki Takaya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-0Record23-15-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
38,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTakaya Gundan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego BrandaoHiroyuki Takaya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Brandao52%
Hiroyuki Takaya 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Brandao a 52% favorite over Hiroyuki Takaya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Hiroyuki Takaya 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.