Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Isaac Thomson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
38,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Isaac ThomsonNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
0
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
3.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
68%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoIsaac Thomson
1550160020242025

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
6 (21%)
Submission
1 (11%)
7 (24%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Thomson70%
Diego Brandao 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Thomson a 70% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Thomson 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.