Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Joey Gambino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joey Gambino
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Joey Gambino

“The Raging Warrior”

9-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1622Solid

Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
38,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Raging Warriors

What's at stake

Joey Gambino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Diego Brandao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego BrandaoNow 1604
If they win+13→ 1617
If they lose-11→ 1593
Joey GambinoNow 1622
If they win+15→ 1637
If they lose-17→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
62%
Strike defense
52%
3.21
Takedown avg.
0
68%
Takedown accuracy
0%
81%
Takedown defense
43%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoJoey Gambino
1550160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
6 (21%)
Submission
5 (56%)
7 (24%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Joey Gambino66%
Diego Brandao 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Joey Gambino a 66% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Joey Gambino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1604, a 18-point edge.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Joey Gambino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joey Gambino 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.