Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Jordan Rinaldi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
38,0"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Jordan RinaldiNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
62%
Strike defense
59%
3.21
Takedown avg.
1.45
68%
Takedown accuracy
36%
81%
Takedown defense
20%
0.57
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoJordan Rinaldi
1600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
6 (21%)
Submission
8 (57%)
7 (24%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Brandao and Jordan Rinaldi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Rinaldi 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.