Diego Brandao vs Katsunori Kikuno
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-0Record20-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
38,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Kikuno
What's at stake
Katsunori Kikuno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Diego Brandao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1610
If they win+11→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego BrandaoKatsunori Kikuno
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Brandao51%
Katsunori Kikuno 49%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Brandao a 51% favorite over Katsunori Kikuno in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katsunori Kikuno's way (44%).
Katsunori Kikuno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1621, a 39-point edge.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Katsunori Kikuno 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.