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Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Makwan Amirkhani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
38,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
48%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
62%
Strike defense
46%
3.21
Takedown avg.
3.96
68%
Takedown accuracy
15%
81%
Takedown defense
36%
0.57
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoMakwan Amirkhani
160020242025

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
6 (21%)
Submission
14 (70%)
7 (24%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani63%
Diego Brandao 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 63% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.