Diego Brandao vs Pablo Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
38,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
Diego Brandao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pablo Garza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1632
If they lose-13→ 1608
If they win+17→ 1622
If they lose-15→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego BrandaoPablo Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Brandao56%
Pablo Garza 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Brandao a 56% favorite over Pablo Garza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Diego Brandao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1605, a 16-point edge.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.