Diego Brandao vs Paul Capaldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-0Record7-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
38,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego BrandaoPaul Capaldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Brandao51%
Paul Capaldo 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Brandao a 51% favorite over Paul Capaldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Paul Capaldo 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.