Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Costa vs Gabriel Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Costa
br

Diego Costa

“Tigre”

4-2-0BantamweightLFA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach69"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Five RoundsTeamShaved Bears MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego CostaNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Gabriel BrownNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Diego CostaGabriel Brown
155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Costa54%
Gabriel Brown 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Costa a 54% favorite over Gabriel Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Diego Costa finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Brown 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.