Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Costa vs Ricardo Lemos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Diego Costa
br

Diego Costa

“Tigre”

4-2-0BantamweightLFA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record5-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Five RoundsTeamCM System· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Ricardo Lemos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Diego Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego CostaNow 1539
If they win+29→ 1568
If they lose-19→ 1520
Ricardo LemosNow 1607
If they win+19→ 1626
If they lose-29→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Diego CostaRicardo Lemos
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (25%)
Submission
4 (80%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lemos62%
Diego Costa 38%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lemos a 62% favorite over Diego Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Ricardo Lemos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1539, a 68-point edge.

Ricardo Lemos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Diego Costa finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lemos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.