Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Costa vs Shane Howell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Costa
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Diego Costa

“Tigre”

4-2-0BantamweightLFA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record13-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Five RoundsTeamR-1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego CostaNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Shane HowellNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diego CostaShane Howell
1550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
1 (25%)
Submission
7 (54%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Costa71%
Shane Howell 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Costa a 71% favorite over Shane Howell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Shane Howell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diego Costa finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shane Howell 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.