Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Esteche vs Gabriel Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AFC VillalbaTeamShaved Bears MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego EstecheNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Gabriel BrownNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Diego EstecheGabriel Brown
155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriel Brown56%
Diego Esteche 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Brown a 56% favorite over Diego Esteche in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1538), separated by just 5 points.

Gabriel Brown 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.