Diego Esteche vs Rafael Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record20-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego EstecheRafael Dias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Esteche54%
Rafael Dias 46%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Esteche a 54% favorite over Rafael Dias in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael Dias's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1537), separated by just 4 points.
Rafael Dias 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.