Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Esteche vs Shane Howell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record13-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AFC VillalbaTeamR-1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego EstecheNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Shane HowellNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diego EstecheShane Howell
1550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (54%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Esteche70%
Shane Howell 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Esteche a 70% favorite over Shane Howell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Howell's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1538), separated by just 5 points.

Shane Howell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shane Howell 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.