Diego Ferreira vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
74"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fortis MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Diego Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1736
If they lose-14→ 1712
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego FerreiraJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon51%
Diego Ferreira 49%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 51% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Ferreira's way (43%).
Diego Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1678, a 48-point edge.
Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Ferreira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Diego Ferreira and Jared Gordon share 1 common opponent: Grant Dawson.
Diego Ferreira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.