Diego Ferreira vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego FerreiraKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green72%
Diego Ferreira 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 72% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Ferreira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1723), separated by just 3 points.
Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Diego Ferreira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Diego Ferreira and King Green share 1 common opponent: Grant Dawson.
Diego Ferreira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.