Diego Ferreira vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record36-18-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
Diego Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1749
If they lose-13→ 1725
If they win+13→ 1722
If they lose-11→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego FerreiraKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Ferreira66%
King Green 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Ferreira a 66% favorite over King Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Diego Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1709, a 29-point edge.
Diego Ferreira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Diego Ferreira and King Green share 1 common opponent: Grant Dawson.
Diego Ferreira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.