Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Rębecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74"Reach66"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego FerreiraMateusz Rębecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Rębecki60%
Diego Ferreira 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Rębecki a 60% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.
Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Rębecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diego Ferreira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Rębecki 80%.
Diego Ferreira and Mateusz Rębecki share 1 common opponent: Grant Dawson.
Diego Ferreira carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.