Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Rębecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74"Reach66"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego FerreiraMateusz Rębecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Ferreira52%
Mateusz Rębecki 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Ferreira a 52% favorite over Mateusz Rębecki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateusz Rębecki's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1743), separated by just 5 points.
Diego Ferreira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Rębecki 81%.
Diego Ferreira and Mateusz Rębecki share 1 common opponent: Grant Dawson.
Diego Ferreira carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.