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Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Ferreira vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego FerreiraNow 1738
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726
Tofiq MusayevNow 1738
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.70
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.82
Takedown avg.
2.30
3%
Takedown accuracy
60%
58%
Takedown defense
50%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diego FerreiraTofiq Musayev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
19 (79%)
7 (35%)
Submission
2 (8%)
8 (40%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Ferreira58%
Tofiq Musayev 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Ferreira a 58% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1738), separated by just 0 points.

Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Diego Ferreira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.

Diego Ferreira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.