Diego Giangirolami vs Marcos Vinicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record1-3-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
TBDHeight5'6"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
TeamZe Mario Team
What's at stake
Diego Giangirolami is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Marcos Vinicius carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1495
If they lose-27→ 1447
If they win+18→ 1451
If they lose-14→ 1419
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego GiangirolamiMarcos Vinicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Giangirolami57%
Marcos Vinicius 43%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Giangirolami a 57% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Diego Giangirolami holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1433, a 41-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.