Diego Lopes vs Gavin Tucker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72"Reach66"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTitans MMA
What's at stake
Diego Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gavin Tucker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1790
If they lose-16→ 1766
If they win+21→ 1690
If they lose-11→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1754 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego LopesGavin Tucker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Lopes89%
Gavin Tucker 11%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Lopes a 89% favorite over Gavin Tucker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Diego Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1782 to 1669, a 113-point edge.
Gavin Tucker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Gavin Tucker 77%.
Diego Lopes and Gavin Tucker share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.
Diego Lopes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.