Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Lopes vs Pat Sabatini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

Diego Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pat Sabatini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego LopesNow 1781
If they win+11→ 1792
If they lose-13→ 1768
Pat SabatiniNow 1762
If they win+13→ 1775
If they lose-11→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1754 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
48%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.09
46%
Strike defense
51%
0.88
Takedown avg.
4.48
50%
Takedown accuracy
51%
69%
Takedown defense
50%
1.38
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Diego LopesPat Sabatini
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
12 (43%)
Submission
12 (55%)
4 (14%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Lopes and Pat Sabatini within a point of even.

Diego Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1762, a 19-point edge.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Pat Sabatini 64%.

Diego Lopes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.