Diego Lopes vs Steve Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach75"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Diego Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Steve Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1791
If they lose-14→ 1767
If they win+14→ 1737
If they lose-10→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego LopesSteve Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Lopes80%
Steve Garcia 20%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Lopes a 80% favorite over Steve Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Diego Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1723, a 58-point edge.
Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.
Steve Garcia carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.