Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Lopes vs Timur Khizriev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record16-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach68.5"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamDagFighter· 1715 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego LopesNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Timur KhizrievNow 1778
If they win+16→ 1794
If they lose-16→ 1762

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.38
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego LopesTimur Khizriev
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
12 (43%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (14%)
Decision
12 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Lopes and Timur Khizriev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1778), separated by just 3 points.

Timur Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Timur Khizriev 25%.

Diego Lopes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.