Diego Morillo vs Marcello Mello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record27-14-1
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight205 lbs
Funky MastersTeamUniversidade da Luta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego MorilloMarcello Mello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Morillo66%
Marcello Mello 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Morillo a 66% favorite over Marcello Mello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1530), separated by just 3 points.
Diego Morillo finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Marcello Mello 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.