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Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Morillo vs Noah Thomas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Diego Morillo
ec

Diego Morillo

“Corazon de Leon”

8-5-0LightweightInka MMA

1535Average
Noah Thomas
us

Noah Thomas

“The Red”

14-8-0LightweightAUFC

1534Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego MorilloNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
Noah ThomasNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.44
Not available
Strike accuracy
14%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.99
Not available
Strike defense
34%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Diego MorilloNoah Thomas
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (13%)
Submission
10 (71%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Morillo64%
Noah Thomas 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Morillo a 64% favorite over Noah Thomas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1534), separated by just 1 points.

Noah Thomas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diego Morillo finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Noah Thomas 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.