Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Morillo vs Zach Underwood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Diego Morillo
ec

Diego Morillo

“Corazon de Leon”

8-5-0LightweightInka MMA

1533Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record13-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego MorilloNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Zach UnderwoodNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego MorilloZach Underwood
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
10 (77%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Morillo66%
Zach Underwood 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Morillo a 66% favorite over Zach Underwood in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zach Underwood's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1534), separated by just 1 points.

Diego Morillo finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Zach Underwood 23%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.