Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Nunes vs Elias Boudegzdame

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Nunes
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Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego NunesNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Elias BoudegzdameNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
1.18
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.55
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego NunesElias Boudegzdame
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
10 (42%)
Submission
18 (86%)
7 (29%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Boudegzdame66%
Diego Nunes 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Boudegzdame a 66% favorite over Diego Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Nunes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1638), separated by just 0 points.

Elias Boudegzdame enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Diego Nunes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Elias Boudegzdame 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.