Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Nunes vs Kenny Florian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Nunes
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Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamFlorian Martial Arts Center

What's at stake

Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Diego Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego NunesNow 1638
If they win+13→ 1651
If they lose-11→ 1627
Kenny FlorianNow 1661
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-17→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
58%
Strike defense
64%
1.18
Takedown avg.
2.22
45%
Takedown accuracy
33%
65%
Takedown defense
60%
0.55
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Diego NunesKenny Florian
165017002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
10 (42%)
Submission
8 (57%)
7 (29%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenny Florian53%
Diego Nunes 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 53% favorite over Diego Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1638, a 23-point edge.

Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Nunes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.