Diego Nunes vs Koji Takeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1627 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego NunesKoji Takeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda84%
Diego Nunes 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 84% favorite over Diego Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Nunes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1638), separated by just 0 points.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Nunes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.