Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Nunes vs Manny Gamburyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Nunes
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Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record15-10-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach67.00
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego NunesNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
58%
Strike defense
56%
1.18
Takedown avg.
3.26
45%
Takedown accuracy
34%
65%
Takedown defense
69%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Diego NunesManny Gamburyan
16502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
10 (42%)
Submission
7 (47%)
7 (29%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Nunes56%
Manny Gamburyan 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Nunes a 56% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1634), separated by just 5 points.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Nunes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Manny Gamburyan 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.