Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Rivas vs Guido Cannetti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Rivas
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Diego Rivas

“Pitbull”

7-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record10-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
39,0"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elemental DojoTeamOur Town MMA

What's at stake

Diego Rivas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Guido Cannetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego RivasNow 1582
If they win+20→ 1602
If they lose-28→ 1554
Guido CannettiNow 1517
If they win+19→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
40%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.79
Takedown avg.
2.27
60%
Takedown accuracy
55%
64%
Takedown defense
65%
0.89
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Diego RivasGuido Cannetti
150015501600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (43%)
Submission
4 (40%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Rivas75%
Guido Cannetti 25%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Rivas a 75% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Diego Rivas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1517, a 65-point edge.

Diego Rivas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Rivas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Guido Cannetti 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.