Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Rivas vs Kris Moutinho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Rivas
cl

Diego Rivas

“Pitbull”

7-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record14-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elemental DojoTeamRivera Athletic Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego RivasNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Kris MoutinhoNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
40%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.68
52%
Strike defense
29%
1.79
Takedown avg.
0
60%
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.89
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diego RivasKris Moutinho
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (43%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Kris Moutinho56%
Diego Rivas 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 56% favorite over Diego Rivas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1585), separated by just 3 points.

Diego Rivas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Rivas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.

Diego Rivas and Kris Moutinho share 1 common opponent: Guido Cannetti.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2018
Guido Cannetti
LossTKO · 2022