Diego Rivas vs Shota Nagano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
39,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight133 lbs
Elemental DojoTeamReversal Gym Musashi Kosugi Tokoro Plus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego RivasShota Nagano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shota Nagano61%
Diego Rivas 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shota Nagano a 61% favorite over Diego Rivas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Rivas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1580), separated by just 2 points.
Diego Rivas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shota Nagano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Rivas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shota Nagano 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.