Diego Sanchez vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNexus
What's at stake
Jake Matthews is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Diego Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1695
If they lose-10→ 1671
If they win+10→ 1763
If they lose-14→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews86%
Diego Sanchez 14%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 86% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jake Matthews holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1681, a 72-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.